
In a world that seems to change faster every day, what can truly be relied upon? With emerging technologies, evolving industries, and disappearing jobs, the pace of change often leaves many feeling uncertain. Predictions about the future are filled with challenges, and it is easy to feel overwhelmed by constant shifts. So, in the face of such unpredictability, how should life be navigated?
Jeff Bezos, the CEO of Amazon, offers a valuable perspective: "People’s desire to get things done quickly never changes, so we focus on that." Rather than attempting to predict the future, Bezos emphasizes focusing on what remains constant: human needs and desires. But what are those constants that can be relied upon?
The Unpredictability of the Future
The world is evolving at an ever-accelerating pace. Consider the major shifts in technology and society over the past few decades. In the 1970s, newspapers and books were printed using the painstaking process of letterpress, where each individual letter was manually arranged. Today, this process is nearly obsolete, replaced by digital printing technology. The world has moved on.
In the past, careers were often built around skills that could last a lifetime, but today, job stability is becoming increasingly rare. For example, someone who spent years mastering the craft of letterpress printing might have expected a steady job for life—one that would help fund their children’s education. However, the speed of change has made that skill, once valuable, largely irrelevant.
Never Changes
In Same as Ever, Morgan Housel discusses various unchanging human instincts and social phenomena. Here are a few key points from the book:
1. Keep Running
"The fact that competitive advantage has an expiration date is a fundamental premise that all thriving and evolving entities must accept."
Everything that thrives must eventually face an end, but the key is to keep moving forward, constantly adapting to new conditions.
2. Overnight Tragedies and Long-Term Miracles
"Good things happen gradually, built up over time through small, incremental changes, which take time. However, bad things occur due to sudden loss of trust or a fatal mistake that happens in the blink of an eye."
The path to success is slow and steady, while failure often strikes unexpectedly and in an instant. Small, consistent efforts lead to lasting results, but a single mistake can unravel it all.
3. The Wonders of the Future
"Progress happens slowly, step by step, over time, and what may seem like insignificant innovations and discoveries today can become the seeds of great opportunities that will transform into something immense in the future."
True progress is gradual and often unnoticed at first. Small innovations that seem trivial today can turn into revolutionary changes in the future.
In the end, while the world around us may continue to evolve at a rapid pace, certain human desires, instincts, and principles remain unchanged. The need for connection, progress, and fulfillment drives us, and our ability to adapt and evolve ensures that we continue to thrive, even in uncertain times. By focusing on these constants, we can navigate the unpredictable nature of the future with confidence and resilience, building a foundation that will support us, no matter how much the world around us shifts.